Sunday, December 25, 2016

avenue to 270: wherein Trump, Clinton begin their race



regardless of the 2016 presidential matchup after the primary campaigns, the Democratic nominee was probably to have an facet over the Republican candidate once the election grew to become in the direction of the November race.

inside the past six presidential elections, 32 states and the District of Columbia have voted solidly Democratic or solidly Republican. If none of that adjustments this year, presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton would start out with 242 electoral votes - just 28 shy of the 270 she needs to win.

The GOP candidate could start off with just 102, if that trend had been to keep. And if presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump received Arizona, Montana and the seven Southern states that voted Democratic most effective while invoice Clinton turned into on the ballot , Trump would be as much as only a hundred and eighty electoral votes.

That leaves 116 votes in 10 states. As always, Florida becomes critical.

If Trump can win 9 of those 10, he nevertheless could lose, until Florida is among his victories. Clinton can lose 9 of these 10, however if she wins Florida, she could move into the White house come January.

To change that math, Trump desires to break through in one of the 19 states which have voted Democratic in every presidential election seeing that 1992.

In subsequent weeks, The associated Press will take a look at the countrywide electoral map and the way the states are leaning, based on political preference polls, demographic tendencies and the applicants' performance on within the campaign.

A look at the starting line, based totally on how the 50 states have voted inside the six presidential elections considering the fact that 1992.

SOLIDLY DEMOCRATIC

these states, further to the District of Columbia, have voted for the Democratic nominee in every election on account that 1992: California, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, New Jersey, the big apple, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington, Wisconsin.

ALL DEMOCRATIC, however once

these states have voted for the Democratic nominee in five of the six elections on the grounds that 1992: Iowa, New Hampshire, New Mexico.

more regularly DEMOCRATIC

those states have voted for the Democratic nominee in four of the six elections seeing that 1992: Nevada, Ohio.

EVEN UP

these states have voted for the Democratic nominee 3 times and the Republican nominee 3 instances on the grounds that 1992: Colorado, Florida.

extra frequently REPUBLICAN

these states have voted for the Republican nominee in four of the six elections due to the fact that 1992: Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Missouri, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia.

ALL REPUBLICAN, however as soon as

those states have voted for the Republican nominee in 5 of the six elections seeing that 1992: Arizona, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, North Carolina.

SOLIDLY REPUBLICAN

those states have voted for the Republican nominee in each election for the reason that 1992: Alabama, Alaska, Idaho, Kansas, Mississippi, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, Wyoming.

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